From FRASCATI@axcdfq.fnal.gov Mon Apr 9 19:05:51 2001 Date: Fri, 23 Mar 2001 16:19:56 -0600 From: FRASCATI@axcdfq.fnal.gov To: velev@fnal.gov, v0565@fnal.gov, rebcdf@fnal.gov, goshaw@fnal.gov, bed@fnal.gov, rlc@fnal.gov Subject: 5450 q&a From: SMTP%"rlc@fnal.gov" 20-MAR-2001 18:02:10.80 To: FRASCATI CC: Subj: Re: comments on cdf 5450 dear cdf 5450 godparents, I don't agree that most of my questions have been answered in a satisfactory way. A few examples: 1) the gamma+b analysis compares data to a method II prediction of the SM background. This prediction has an error of about 16%, close to the error of the method II prediction of the background to W+b events. I was impressed and I wanted more details on how each background and its uncertainty were estimated. I also thought that, before claiming such an accuracy on the background calculation, the authors should have shown that they understand the same backgrounds in other data samples. This is standard practice in a ``conservative and careful" collaboration. There is nothing like this in the answers: a) I am not told how the rate of negative tag was parametrized. b) there is no way of understanding in the paper or in the documentation how the rate of fake photons is determined c) the authors believe that they tag jets correctly, but a tautological answer is not good enough. Good answers are "Weiming checked it" or " here is the list of tags, check it". d) I am glad to know that Keith (who should then be referenced in the PRD) and not MLM calculated the matrix element of gamma b production. Nevertheless, I would like to see some description of its implementation into Herwig (and some checks too). I remain that the uncertainty of the calculation is not discussed seriously (remember that the Ellis calculation of the bbar production is off by a factor of two). 2) I thought that showing a comparison of data and prediction up to a jet multiplicity of 8 was silly. Your answer: "The higher jet multiplicities would be predicted by the standard Herwig; they were not specifically checked." 3) There is no point in showing Figure 33 with ``a posteriori probabilities". The problem is not the ``a posteriori" as you seem to suggest, but the fact that a reliable background calculation is missing. You say this innn the text, but a confession is not an absolution. In addition, one is not supposed to sin and repent in the same article. 4) There is no point in showing double tags without an evaluation of the background 5) There is no point in singling out events by run and number when there is no solid background estimate or no excess. I understand that, since there is not a SUSY discovery, the attitude is very cavalier and errors and procedures are let to be handwaved. It makes no harm here, but helps diffusing in the scientific community the perception that we are a conservative but not careful collaboration. On one side, I find it regretful that you are sacrifying an interesting QCD measurement to the SUSY hype. On the other hand, imagine that actually CDF (or D0) will find out in Run II that the all calculation is wrong by a factor of two and there is actually a huge excess. How will you feel having set a 16% error now? In addition, all this showing of events with MET and double tags will backfire when taken out of the context of the determination of the background, where they belong. regards, Paolo